电视侦察弹侦察效力的演化仿真优化研究

为了保证电视侦察弹能到达目标区域的上空并发挥最优的侦察效力,采用了基于遗传算法的启发式仿真优化方法来解决炮射电视侦察弹的优化使用问题.分析了电视侦察弹的主要影响因素,建立了用于计算目标侦察效力的仿真模型,引入了演化策略,实现了基于进化计算的启发式仿真优化系统,并求取了电视侦察弹的最大侦察效力及其主要影响因素的最优搭配....     

On the optimal detection of an underwater intruder in a channel using unmanned underwater vehicles

Given a number of patrollers that are required to detect an intruder in a channel, the channel patrol problem consists of determining the periodic trajectories that the patrollers must trace out so as to maximized the probability of detection of the intruder. We formulate this problem as an optimal control problem. We assume that the patrollers' sensors are imperfect and that their motions are subject to turn‐rate constraints, and that the intruder travels straight down a channel with constant speed. Using discretization of time and space, we approximate the optimal control problem with a large‐scale nonlinear programming problem which we solve to obtain an approximately stationary solution and a corresponding optimized trajectory for each patroller. In numerical tests for one, two, and three underwater patrollers, an underwater intruder, different trajectory constraints, several intruder speeds and other specific parameter choices, we obtain new insight—not easily obtained using simply geometric calculations—into efficient patrol trajectory design under certain conditions for multiple patrollers in a narrow channel where interaction between the patrollers is unavoidable due to their limited turn rate.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

石化工业园区消防安全分析及灾害事故处置对策研究

针对全国各地石化工业园区不断新建,化学灾害事故风险增大,以及灾害事故处置难度大的问题,以天津滨海新区石化工业园区为例,对石化工业园区灾害事故风险进行了全面分析,有针对性地提出了石化工业园区灾害事故处置的对策与建议。     

一种拦截机动目标的最优制导律设计

引入伪控制变量的概念,建立了线性化的描述导弹与目标相对运动的状态方程.应用线性二次型最优控制理论和改进剩余时间的计算方法,提出了一种拦截高机动目标的最优制导律.通过与比例导引律在平面拦截过程中的仿真结果对比分析,表明所提出的最优制导律在拦截机动目标时更为有效.     

直接力/气动力复合作用动能拦截弹姿态控制方法

针对直接力/气动力复合作用动能拦截弹的姿态控制问题,建立了拦截弹俯仰-偏航通道短周期运动模型;利用线性二次型最优跟踪控制理论结合姿控固体小火箭点火逻辑设计了复合控制系统,通过分析非线性容限得出了该系统对直接力偏差具有强鲁棒性的结论;姿控回路仿真表明系统具有快速响应特性及良好的跟踪性能,考虑侧喷干扰效应等实际条件的六自由度弹道仿真表明所设计的控制系统能够满足拦截末段直接碰撞要求。     

Outsourcing warranty repairs: Dynamic allocation

In this paper we consider the problem of minimizing the costs of outsourcing warranty repairs when failed items are dynamically routed to one of several service vendors. In our model, the manufacturer incurs a repair cost each time an item needs repair and also incurs a goodwill cost while an item is awaiting and undergoing repair. For a large manufacturer with annual warranty costs in the tens of millions of dollars, even a small relative cost reduction from the use of dynamic (rather than static) allocation may be practically significant. However, due to the size of the state space, the resulting dynamic programming problem is not exactly solvable in practice. Furthermore, standard routing heuristics, such as join‐the‐shortest‐queue, are simply not good enough to identify potential cost savings of any significance. We use two different approaches to develop effective, simply structured index policies for the dynamic allocation problem. The first uses dynamic programming policy improvement while the second deploys Whittle's proposal for restless bandits. The closed form indices concerned are new and the policies sufficiently close to optimal to provide cost savings over static allocation. All results of this paper are demonstrated using a simulation study. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

拦截弹中制导最优弹道簇生成

针对临近空间高超声速目标飞行速度快,跟踪预测难的特点,提出在中制导阶段进行最优弹道设计与弹道簇生成用于对目标预测命中区域进行有效覆盖的方法。通过分析临近空间高超声速目标对现有防空体系带来的挑战,阐明了在中制导段进行弹道簇设计与生成的必要性;将中制导段的弹道规划问题视为求解满足多种约束条件下的最优控制问题,应用最优化理论方法得到了基准的最优弹道;应用邻域最优控制理论,针对终端约束条件进行调整,设计了邻域最优弹道簇的生成算法。仿真验证了所提方法的有效性。     

搜索路径给定时的搜索对策问题及其应用

搜索路径给定时的最优搜索方案问题,也可以理解为是关于搜索者和目标的二人对策问题,主要讨论了当搜索路径给定时的单个搜索者和单个目标的搜索对策问题。首先根据问题的特点,利用动态规划和迭代的方法,确定关于目标逃逸路径混合策略的最优分区,证明该分区是多面体凸集;针对目标不同逃逸路径的分区,求出搜索者的最大期望收益,再将问题转化为二人有限零和对策,计算出搜索者的支付矩阵,确定最优搜索策略。最后结合海军护航行动,对我舰载直升机搜索小型海盗船进行分析和计算,说明搜索路径给定时的最优搜索对策对于双方的资源分配和提高搜索效率具有一定的应用价值。     

舰载火箭子母弹最优火力分配

舰载火箭子母弹对岸上目标实施火力压制射击时,火力分配方式直接影响毁伤效果和火力支援任务的完成.针对舰载火箭子母弹的射击特点,首先分析了海上射击误差,然后探讨了集群目标的简化处理方法,最后给出了最优火力分配时表尺差计算公式,并进行了举例分析.利用最优火力分配方法来计算舰载火箭子母弹效力射表尺差,避免了指挥员战场射击指挥的盲目性,可以在相同弹药消耗量情况下取得最佳射击效果,对未来舰载火箭子母弹的火力运用具有较高的现实意义.     

纯方位系统定位与跟踪的本载体最优轨线方程及其最优轨线

给出了纯方位系统在目标任意变速变向运动或不动情况下,目标定位与跟踪中的本载体确定性控制最优和次优轨线方程以及其最优轨线。这一结果是完全用解析方法得到的。